[新闻] 【VGPreview】马车首周46W碉堡，马大陆继续长卖（更新翻译）

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1^# 大中小发表于 2011-12-5 20:01 显示全部帖子

The Japan Preview: 12/4/11 Edition (Mario Kart 7, Mobile Suit Gundam)4th
Dec Jacob Mazel, 1 hour ago, 307 views
The Japanese video game industry had its first genuinely 'huge' week for software in quite some time with numerous games selling tens of thousands of units and two major titles over 300,000 units.

1) Mario Kart 7 (3DS) - 467,000

2) Mobile Suit Gundam Extreme Vs. (PS3) - 339,000

3) The Legend of Zelda: Skyward Sword (Wii) - 80,000

4) Super Mario 3Dland (3DS) - 63,000

5) Kamen Rider Climax Heroes Fourze (PSP) - 55,000

6) Fortune Street / Itadaki Street (Wii) - 43,000

7) Assassin's Creed: Revelations (PS3) - 37,000

8) Kirby's Return to Dreamland (Wii) - 32,000

9) Powerful Pro Kun Pocket 14 (DS) - 26,000

10) Kamen Rider Climax Heroes Fourze (Wii) - 23,000

12) Just Dance Wii (Wii) - 22,000

12) 7th Dragon 2020 (PSP) - 22,000

13) The King of Fighters XIII (PS3) - 20,000

14) One Piece: Gigant Battle 2 - Shinseka (DS) - 18,000

15) Pokepark 2 (Wii) - 15,000

In addition to the games above, Wii Sports Resort (Wii), Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 3 (PS3), Saint Seiya Senki (PS3), Weiss Schwarz Portable: Boost Schwarz (PSP), and Pop'n Music Portable 2 (PSP) should also chart in the final top twenty data for the week.

Mario Kart 7 was the big opening for the week. To date, it is the largest opening for a 3DS game in Japan although if Capcom ships enough units of Monster Hunter next week the 'record' will only last for a week. On a much larger base, Mario Kart Wii opened to nearly 600,000 units in Japan and currently stands at 3.28m - and so Mario Kart 7 should continue to sell for a long, long time in Japan particularly if the 3DS ends up being larger than Wii as Mario Kart DS has sold over 4m units in Japan by being on a larger platform. Mobile Suit Gundam for PS3 had an opening nearly as good as Mario Kart 7, but will follow the 'spike' pattern and decline very rapidly over the next three weeks.

Outside of the major titles, a lot of games for Nintendo platforms are now holding well - Zelda, Kirby, Pokepark 2, Marioland, and One Piece are all being held up some by seasonal purchasing patterns - if this was any month but December or January they'd all have declined or declined faster. Kamen Riders and Itadaki Street Wii also had pretty good openings for the week given that neither game will decline much on a unit basis until late January. 3DS, Wii, PS3, and PSP should each be up from last week, as they are the main platforms this holiday until Vita launches, and each has had a pretty steady stream of games now for two months.

Looking ahead, there are three major events for the rest of December in Japan. Vita launches mid-month and should open quite well even with 3DS set to achieve obscene figures over the next six weeks in Japan. Capcom's Monster Hunter Portable 3G for 3DS launches December 10th in Japan. Preorders are currently at 405,000 units and should reach right about 450,000 units at launch. Those figures will translate to a 500,000 - 900,000 week one - assuming Capcom ships enough of the game. The current rumor is Capcom is only shipping about 420,000 units for day one, so week one will likely be on the low end of the range presented above. Square-Enix's Final Fantasy XIII-2 launches December 15 for PS3 and now has 280,000 preorders en route to about 350,000 preorders on the eve of launch. An opening of 450,000 - 700,000 units looks likely for the game now, well below the 1.5m opening for Final Fantasy XIII in mid-December 2009, which makes sense as Final Fantasy XIII had 1,030,000 preorders 11 days before launch compared to the 280,000 preorders Final Fantasy XIII-2 has 11 days before launch. Given how quickly Final Fantasy games decline in Japan, it is becoming increasingly unlikely that Final Fantasy XIII-2 will reach even 1m units in Japan over its lifetime. Sony's Vita also does not look like it will have any huge software (at least at brick & mortar retail) initially, as no Vita games currently have more than 20,000 preorders less than two weeks from launch. 3DS for comparison had about five games with over 20,000 preorders at this distance from launch even though the device launched in a non-holiday month.

Contact VGChartz at jmazel@vgchartz.com
日本游戏业终于迎来了第一个货真价实的软件销售周，众多的游戏卖出了上万份，更有两款游戏卖出了超过30W份

除了上述游戏外，前20的还有Wii sportR（妖孽啊），MW3，圣斗士无双，黑白妹子大战，流行音乐携带版2 。

马车7有个完美的开局，创下了3ds游戏的日本首发记录，不过这个记录下周就会被猛汉3g破掉。由于巨大的主机基数，马车Wii有60W的首发，截止目前销量是3.28M所以马车7的长卖是必然的，如果3ds的销量能够超越Wii的话，那么或许也能像马车DS那样有超过4M的销量。高达同样有个完美的开局，几乎和马车一样好，不过首周过后，可以预见到之后3周的巨大销量滑坡。

除了这两款主角外，老任的游戏销量保持的都很好，塞尔达，口袋乐园2，马大陆，巨人战争2都在购物季中保住了自己的地位，要是在其余月（非12,1）它们估计就要保湿了。假面超人和富豪街Wii都有个挺好的开局，而且也能够长卖到一月下旬。3DS, Wii, PS3, and PSP 仍是主要的平台直到这个周末，这两月它们的销量很稳定，因为Vita之后发售。

往后看看年底11区有3件大事，Vita在月中发售而且应该能够打下一个挺好的开局，即使3ds这6周的销量势头极好。猛汉3g 10号发售预定量已达到40W，发售是预计能达到45W，这能带来50W到90W的首周销量，如果出货量跟得上的话。现在有个传言说卡表首日铺货只有42W，所以首周销量可能会比预计的低。SE的FFXIII-2 15号发售，现在有28W的预定，到发售日能达到35W，所以45W-70W的首周是比较合理的。想想FFXIII的1.5M的预定，离发售11日是预定量是1M，XIII-2的28W预定，显出了FF在日本的下坡路。现在看来FFXIII-2在日本很可能永远也卖不过一百万份了。Vita的首发游戏看起来也没有什么能挑大梁的。不到两周就要发售了，目前Vita的游戏没有一款预定过2W的，与之相比3ds在这个时期（离发售不到两周）已有5款预定过2W的游戏，而且那时是淡季。

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